Premier League Preview 15th Dec

If ever a game looked like a home banker then it is the one in the Championship that sees Cardiff entertain Peterborough as top take on bottom. More than this though is that Cardiff are ten wins from ten games at home while Peterborough have taken just seven points from their ten away games this season. The 2/5 (BetVictor/william hill) is never going to make anyone rich though this bet should form the basis of many accumulators this weekend.

Crystal Palace sit second place in the division and are away to Birmingham this weekend. The 28/17 (pinnacle) on a Palace victory seems on the generous side bearing in mind the respective form of these sides. Palace have lost just one of their last nine while Birmingham have won just one of their last six. The best way to play this is in the draw no bet market where at 5/6 (bet365/Stan James/ladbrokes) Palace look a great price.

Also flying high in the division are Middlesbrough who sit in third and must bounce back from a League Cup loss to Swansea in midweek. The Teesiders were far from disgraced in their performance and can take heart from the way they played. At evens (general) the home side might appeal to some though with the fresh legs of Wolves it is not for me.

Hull are in fourth place and take on Huddersfield in an early (non televised) kick-off. The Tigers on a great run of form with eight wins, two draws and a loss from their last eleven games and take on a Huddersfield side badly out of form. The visitors have not won any of their last five. Hull at 4/5 (general) will appeal to many though I’m not so keen. Hull are a stronger home side than away side for me while Huddersfield have lost just one of their last three on their travels. September 1st was the last time Hull won a game by more than one goal and as such I like the look of Huddersfield at +1 on the Asian Handicap market. You can get the Terriers at 7/11 (pinnacle) which looks good value.

For reasons only know to QPR they allowed the artist formerly known as DJ Campbell to join Ipswich on loan. Now he wishes to be known as Dudley so we shall do right (sorry) and call him that. Campbell has netted eight in twelve games for Ipswich including three in his last two and looks great value at 2/1 (Skybet/william hill) in the anytime market against a Leeds side that has shipped five in their last two games. In terms of the game betting this looks a tricky game to call as both sides enter in good form with Leeds having taken nine points from their last four games while Ipswich have gone one better and taken ten.

The final bet in the Championship is for Nottingham Forest to get something out of this game at Brighton. Don’t get me wrong I think Brighton are a decent side and Gus Poyet is a good young manager however the price on Forest is much too big with them and the draw available in the double chance market at 5/6 (paddy Power). Both sides are level on points and even allowing for home advantage the price on Forest is much too high. Brighton have won just two over their last seven home games meaning this bet would have paid on the other five occasions. Forest meanwhile have lost just two of their ten away games this season. The stats and the form suggest this looks a good value bet.

BEST OF THE BETS

GOLD: Palace in draw no bet market v Birmingham, 5/6 (bet365/Stan James/ladbrokes)
SILVER: Forest/Draw in double chance market v Brighton, 5/6 (paddy Power)
BRONZE: Dudley Campbell to score anytime v Leeds, 2/1 (Skybet/William Hill)

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07/01/2013     © Frixo 2024