Premier League Preview 27th Apr

Premier League

Football
Published: 27/04/2013

Four non-live Premier League games takes place on Saturday afternoon, here is our guide to the best of the bets from these matches.

Defeat at Sunderland last weekend put an end to any slim hopes Everton might have had of Champions League qualification while Fulham sit comfortably in mid-table but on a run of form that has seen them fail to win any of their last four games. Despite this I can not bring myself to get excited by Everton at such odds of 8/15 (paddypower/ladbrokes). Fulham might be slightly where the betting value lies though with nothing to really play for and a terrible head-to-head reord against the Toffees (no win in their last 19 at Goodison and none of their last seven at all venues) then this makes this game a no bet. If you did want a bet on the game then Marouane Fellaini is 2/1 (CORAL) in the anytime scorer market and he has netted four goals in his last three appearances against Fulham in all competitions. Under 2.5 goals is also another option as Fulham have failed to score in three of their last four league games while Everton have gone 214 minutes without a Premier League goal. I am surprised then to see under 2.5 goals available at 6/5 (BETVICTOR/boylesports ).

Southampton take on West Brom on Saturday in another mid-table battle between two sides with nothing to play for but pride and extra money. The Saints are the 10/11 (GENERAL) favourites as they enter the game on the back of a six game unbeaten run and have lost just one of their last six at home (which strangely came against QPR). West Brom meanwhile have won just one of their last eight away games (which came at Anfield) and seem to have checked out on the season a long time ago. I think the best bet here is in the anytime goalscorer market where I am amazed to find a player of the quality of Romelu Lukaku available at 12/5 (SKYBET/STAN JAMES). The Belgian forward has gone a few games without a goal but is still a real danger and though this Saints side have tightened up as a unit they still do not convince to me as individuals at the back.

Stoke and Norwich have followed a similar path this season with both seemingly going well in mid-table before a recent slump dragged them into the relegation mix. Both sides picked up a vital three points last weekend though both know they are still not safe yet. I am amazed to see Stoke as short as 23/20 (TOTESPORT/betfred,/BETVICTOR) for victory over Norwich. The Canaries are 3/1 (bet365/Stan James ) for victory which looks big as this is not a side who will have problems coping with the aerial threat of the hosts. Let us not forget this Stoke side have taken just four points from their last seven home games in the league. The advice then is to take Norwich at 0.5 on the Asian Handicap which will pay out on the Canaries winning or drawing and is available at 9/11 (188 BET).

Wigan take on Tottenham in a game that has key issues at both ends of the table as the home side badly need three points in their battle for relegation while the visitors need the three points to keep up in the race for the Champions League. Bookmakers have Tottenham as 11/10 (BETVICTOR ) favourites while Wigan are priced at 14/5 (BWIN) and the draw is 13/5 (BETVICTOR). This is a funny game to know what to make as both sides got results their performances did not seem to warrant last weekend. Tottenham taking all three points against a dominant Man City while Wigan got nothing despite dominating against West Ham. None of the last five Wigan games have seen over 2.5 goals and they could be a touch of value in under 2.5 goals at 23/20 (BETVICTOR ).

BEST OF THE BETS

GOLD: Norwich 0.5 on Asian Handicap v Stoke, 9/11 (188 BET)
SILVER: Under 2.5 goals Everton v Fulham, 6/5 (BETVICTOR/boylesports)
BRONZE: Romelu Lukaku to score anytime v Southampton, 12/5 (SKYBET/STAN JAMES)

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Any odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of publishing (27/04/2013) but are subject to change.

27/04/2013     © Frixo 2024

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