Deutsche Bank Championship Preview

It is Labor Day Weekend this weekend in America and for many Americans it is a chance to relax, for others a chance to party, for others a chance to catch up with their family, for the Golfers of the PGA Tour it is business as usual as the FedEx Cup events continue. Who will be celebrating this Monday evening with victory in the Deutsche Bank Championship?

The Arnold Palmer TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts is the venue for the event this weekend (as it has been since 2003). It is a real help to us punters that it has been played at the same venue since 2003 as we can learn about how a player handles the course and the characteristics of the course. It is a par 71 Course that is traditionally considered one of the most player friendly. One interesting aspect to note is that seven of the last ten winners have ranked in the top ten for Greens In Regulation. Bubba Watson curretly heads that stat on the PGA Tour and combined with his current solid run of form he looks worth backing. He is currently 25/1 (general) for victory and this looks decent odds on a hugely talented player.

Stats fans will also be interested to note that five of the last nine winners of this event have ranked first for Par Five Performances and two have ranked second. That stat is currently headed on the PGA Tour by Seung-Yul Noh and the Korean is 150/1 (general). Though a fine player his form has not been great recently so instead It is Jimmy Walker who I am recommending as the second selection. The American finished tied fourth in the Wyndham Championship recently and shot a closing round 67 here last time out as he seemed to be finally getting the hang of the course. At 125/1 (general) he looks great value.

Tiger Woods and Rory McIlory are 12/1 (boylesports/BWin) joint favourites. The pair are the two best golfers in the field and it would be no shock to see either of them at the top of the leaderboard on Monday night. Neither has real course form of note though and the prices are a little short for me. Luke Donald is third favourite at 16/1 (general). The Englishman was tied third here last year though others appeal at a bigger price. Fourth favourite is Dustin Johnson (18/1-general) and the American arrives here on the back of a tied third at the Barclays. The big question mark though is whether he has the game to suit the course. Johnson only finished tied 42nd here last year putting in a terrible last round.

My third and final selection for the event is Jason Day who has great course form here coming third and second in the last two years. True the Australian has not been at his best in recent weeks yet I think at 50/1 (Blue Sq/888 Sport) it is a price that can not be ignored. Tying for 24th in the Barclays was a step in the right direction after a poor PGA Championship and it has been shown in the past that this is a course too suit his game (especially benefiting his strong scrambling talent).

Only final note is a little betting in play advice, the 18th hole has been re-designed to be very tough this year and could offer a chance for a real dramatic conclusion to the event.

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30/08/2012     © Frixo 2024