Mercedes to continue their recent domination?

Formula One is once more being dominated by talk over rubber (and this time it has nothing to do with Max Mosley) as the tyre debate rumbles on. While the lawyers try to ask questions of the own, the on track question is ’Can Mercedes continue their recent dominance?’

Thanks to the brains of Ross Brawn Mercedes have found an advantage over their rivals and they will continue to push it. Bookmakers are offering 5/2 (BETVICTOR/BWIN) that the winning car in Canada is a Mercedes and this looks a great bet. The Mercedes team have claimed four Pole Positions in a row and a victory in Monaco last time out under Nico Rosberg. Throw in the fact that Lewis Hamilton has a great record at the track with two wins in the last three years (2012 and 2010) and three in total (he also won in 2007) and all the signs point to a Mercedes win.

This venue is one that has not served their nearest rivals (Red Bull, Ferrari) well in recent seasons and I can see no value in backing Sebastian Vettel at 11/4 (GENERAL). The Red Bull driver has never won at this track and nor has his team with the demanding street circuit with long straights and slow tight corners not playing to their strengths. Nor can I see the value in backing Fernando Alonso at 7/2 (TOTESPORT/betfred). Ferrari also tend to struggle here and the car and the team have let down the Spaniard in recent weeks.

Kimi Raikkonen is a 6/1 (GENERAL) chance for glory here. The Lotus team have found a lot of success with a one stop strategy and this could be just the kind of venue to repeat the trick. The problem is though that the Lotus lacks the speed of the other cars and could explain why the Finn has not had a victory since the first race of the season.

Outside of the big five drivers I think some value can be had in backing a McLaren car to finish in the top six. McLaren have a great record in this race winning the last three and both Button and Perez have good drives at this venue in the past. Perez produced a remarkable drive from 15th on the grid to come third at this venue last year. Jenson Button meanwhile was the race winner in 2011. Throw in some recent improved performances for the car and value can be had in backing Jenson Button at 5/2 (SKYBET) to finish in the top six while Perez is 7/2 (GENERAL) for a top six finish.

Finally let us have a look at how the outright markets are shaping up ahead of this race. Sebastian Vettel is dominating in the drivers outright market and is 10/11 (paddy Power) for the title while Fernando Alonso is 23/10 (william hill), Kimi Raikkonen is a 8/1(sportingbet/BETVICTOR/william hill) chance, Lewis Hamilton is 25/1 (sportingbet/BETVICTOR/paddy Power) and Nico Rosberg is 40/1 (GENERAL). Though Hamilton and Rosberg have a lot of ground to make up they do have a number of races to do so and they could still be value in the outright market.

Red Bull are dominating the Cosntructors Championship with a lead of 41 from their nearest rivals Ferrari. 8/13 (GENERAL) is the price on another Red Bull victory in this market. Ferrari are 15/8 (SKYBET/sportingbet) while Mercedes are a 25/1 (SPORTINGBET) chance.

BEST OF THE BETS

GOLD: Mercedes car to win the Canada Grand Prix, 5/2 (BETVICTOR/BWIN)
SILVER: Jenson Button to finish in the top six, 5/2 (SKYBET)
BRONZE: Sergio Perez to finish in the top six, 7/2 (GENERAL)

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06/06/2013     © Frixo 2026