Draw the best bet in Monday night game between West Brom and Aston Villa

Monday night Football returns to SKY this Monday night (25th) and features a Midlands derby between two sides on identical points (14) as West Brom entertain Aston Villa (20:00).

Bookmakers make West Brom the 6/5 (GENERAL) favourites as they have just one defeat from their last eight in the Premier League with that loss coming against a Luis Suarez inspired Liverpool. The run saw draws with Chelsea and Arsenal and a win at Old Trafford.

Aston Villa got a much needed win against Cardiff last time out that put an end to a little slump of their own. Away from home though Villa tend to do well against sides of a similar level and have lost just two of their last 12 away in the league against teams in the bottom half of the table. You can back Villa for victory at odds of 14/5 (CORAL).

If you look at the last 14 meetings between this pair the games have either ended drawn or in a one goal winning margin. I think then it makes sense to have a bet on the draw with a small saver bet on the winning margin in this game being just one goal. The draw at 5/2 (TOTESPORT/STAN JAMES) has also been the result in six of the 13 West Brom games this season and the last two Aston Villa games. These are sides of simiar ability who sit on identical points and next to each other in the table so this is likely to be a close one. The saver bet is important because it covers your money against either side winning this game. If you look at the Championship this weekend all those games finished all square or were settled by a one goal margin and this tends to be the result when teams of a similar ability to play each other. It makes sense then if you think that the game will end drawn to cover yourself with a bet at betway are offering 9/10 that the game is settled by one goal. Christian Benteke has not scored in any of his last five Premier League appearances though the Belgian is still getting the shots so you think it will only be a matter of time before he starts to get among the goals. He is 9/4 (STAN JAMES) to score at anytime and looks worth siding with against a West Brom side with just three clean sheets from their last ten games.

Shane Long will lead the front line for West Brom though he is not prolific so odds of 11/5 (paddy Power) on him to score anytime seem a little short. Those looking for a West Brom striker will be better served by looking at one of the trio that will play behind the front man which will likely by Saido Berahino (13/5-paddy Power), Stephane Sessegnon (31/10-888 SPORT/unibet) and Morgan Amalfitano (11/2-william hill). The latter seems the best option especially as he is likely to be on set-pieces.

Monday night Football has tended to produce a lot of goals this season with 18 goals being scored from five Premier League games on this evening this season, an average of 3.6 per game. Bookmakers think this one will be not as high scoring though and you can get over 2.5 goals at a price of 21/20 (BETVICTOR/william hill) while both teams to score is available at 5/6 (888 SPORT/unibet).

BEST OF THE BETS

GOLD: West Brom and Aston Villa to end in a draw, 5/2 (TOTESPORT/STAN JAMES) SAVER: Winning margin in game to be by one goal, 9/10 (betway)
SILVER: Christian Benteke to score anytime v West Brom, 9/4 (STAN JAMES)
BRONZE: Morgan Amalfitano to score anytime v Aston Villa, 11/2 (william hill)

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25/11/2013     © Frixo 2026